Is the Australian dollar expected to go up or down?

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Westpac forecasts the Australian dollar to strengthen against the US dollar, reaching 0.70 US cents by early 2025, up from a predicted 0.69 cents by year-end. Other major banks project similar upward movement.
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Australian Dollar’s Future Trajectory: An Upward Trend

The Australian dollar (AUD) has been on a steady upward trajectory in recent months, and financial experts predict this trend will continue in the coming years. According to Westpac, one of Australia’s leading banks, the AUD is forecasted to strengthen against the US dollar (USD).

Westpac’s Forecast

Westpac projects that the AUD will reach 0.70 USD cents by early 2025. This represents a significant increase from the current exchange rate of around 0.64 USD cents. Westpac’s forecast is based on several factors, including:

  • Positive economic outlook: Australia’s economy is expected to continue growing steadily over the next few years.
  • Strong commodity prices: Australia is a major exporter of commodities such as iron ore and coal, and commodity prices have been rising in recent months.
  • Interest rate expectations: The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise interest rates in the coming months, which would make the AUD more attractive to foreign investors.

Other Bank Projections

Other major banks in Australia also project an upward movement for the AUD. For example, ANZ Bank predicts the AUD will reach 0.71 USD cents by the end of 2024. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) forecasts the AUD will reach 0.72 USD cents by the middle of 2025.

Factors Driving the Upward Trend

The factors contributing to the AUD’s expected appreciation include:

  • Increased demand for Australian exports: As the global economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, demand for Australian commodities is expected to increase.
  • Diversification of investments: International investors are increasingly looking to diversify their portfolios by investing in Australian assets.
  • Stable political and economic environment: Australia’s stable political and economic environment provides investors with confidence.

Conclusion

The Australian dollar is expected to continue strengthening in the coming years. Westpac forecasts the AUD to reach 0.70 USD cents by early 2025, with other major banks projecting similar upward movement. The factors driving this trend include a positive economic outlook, strong commodity prices, and expected interest rate hikes. As a result, the AUD is likely to remain a strong currency in the global market.